Aristo
Question 5 of 6 · Is it working?
Helped seats are 14 points ahead of a group Aristo never nudged — the lift is Aristo’s doing.
measured against a never-nudged control group of 154 seats · 95% confidence
The move
See what the proven lift has returned — the Value Report counts it, with the causal part named.
Control group — a fixed share of seats ready to activate, set on day 0 and never nudged; they keep every license, they only miss Aristo’s help.
Proven — the gap cleared 95% confidence; below that this report says “directional”.
Question 5 · How do we know it’s working?
As of 24 September 2026
Last counted Run #4 24 September 2026
Because we never nudge 12% of your seats ready to activate — and the rest are 14 points ahead of them.
Fig · The never-nudged control group. Both arms were drawn on day 0 by a fixed rule and neither has been re-drawn since. The gap between them is the only part of this report that answers “would it have happened anyway?” — and a seat counts as proven only from the confidence interval's lower bound, never the gap itself.
How we counted this
the working, the words, the sources
So what: this is the number a CFO can defend — a built-in control group, measured for 90 days. If the line ever flattens, this page will say so: the score is allowed to go down.
Defined: control group / holdout — a deterministic 12% of seats ready to activate, never nudged, set on day 0. proven — the gap at 95% statistical confidence; below that bar this report says “directional”, never “proven”.
See the two arms, in full
the control group · the confidence interval
Counted Run #3 → #4: score 74 → 78 across valid completed evidence
Every claim on this page survives a boardroom: counted signals, a control group, and a number that is allowed to go down.
This is the Day-60 proof every approved move points to: activation, measured here against the holdout, and proven only when it is. Not a claim to take on trust — a number that has to earn itself.
Projected activation PROJECTION · NOT MEASURED
~80% next month — this is an estimate, not a measurement: simple linear trend from the last 4 weekly readings. The solid line is your real weekly readings; the dashed line is where the trend points. It re-draws as each week lands.